Aussie Broadband CEO Phillip Britt believes that affordable gigabit speeds in Australia are still "waiting", requiring, in part, "a shift in mindset at NBN Co" to become a reality.
We hope, however, that a change of mentality at NBN Co could occur as soon as possible, the outcome of the May federal election being a determining factor.
Appearing in a Reddit Ask Me Anything (AMA), Britt predicted that the path could be slow, even for mobile operators who also touted gigabit speeds.
"I think it will take a while before we see an affordable gigabit here," he said.
"Since only a small part of the NBN was built as FTTP [fibre to the premises], and they limit HFC and FTTC [fibre to the curb] currently at 100 Mbps, it will take a change of mindset at NBN Co to achieve it.
"The mobile will be able to get higher speeds in the short term, but keeping those speeds at peak will be the problem."
Britt is also associated with a growing group of industries to claim a reduction in the value of the NBN.
Telstra CEO Andy Penn made a rare foray into politics this weekend, saying a future federal Labor government could result in lower broadband prices.
The hope is that a reduction in the value of the NBN would reduce the pressure on NBN Co to obtain high financial returns, which could lead to a decline in its wholesale prices.
Britt thought that a depreciation could have a positive effect on prices at 100 Mbps. These are currently the subject of a special price promotion, but the future of the long-term rebate is not clear.
"I think we'll see the 100Mbps level price go down over time, but that will require a reduction on the part of the NBN government to make that happen," he said.
"They [NBN Co] can not keep the average revenue per user (ARPU) amounts of 51 USD that it is trying to achieve [by 2022] because the mobile guys are going to wipe the floor with them. "
In terms of mobile risk, Britt thought that NBN Co's economic situation could be affected by Optus' imminent launch of 50 Mbps wireless services and more, which would again argue for depreciation.
"[5G] will have an impact – the question becomes how much, "said Britt.
"I think it's going to affect the transitional market where people move every 6-12 months or so, but for people who tend to be more fixed, they will continue to use fixed-line services because performance tends to be more coherent.
"The 5G will, however, have an impact on the profitability of NBN Co, and I think we will see a reduction in value here when there is a change of government."
Aussie Broadband launched a major overhaul of its network last week, replacing most of its routing equipment and adding significant intercapital and international capacity.
It has recently crossed the 100,000 mark and the network upgrade offers the scalability needed to serve half a million customers, if the retail provider continues to grow as it has done. .
Britt said Aussie Broadband's focus over the next decade "will be to get at least 10% of the Australian market."
However, he noted that the financial obstacles to achieving this goal were not insignificant.
"This is an area where margins are incredibly low and it is difficult to maintain extremely high levels of help and the quality of the network is a daunting task to make money," he said. declared.
"Fortunately, we seem to have found a balance when our customers understood the value of the offer."